← Back to Blog

2025-2035: Decades of Agents

June 22, 2025
3 min read
AI AgentsLLMFuture of AIAndrej Karpathy

2025-2035 is the decade of agents

A couple of days ago, @karpathy delivered an inspiring keynote at YC Startup School that felt, in many ways, like a lighthouse for the AI industry. If you don't have time to watch the full talk, at least spend ten minutes on a reliable recap. Karpathy's value lies not in universal accuracy but in his rare ability to spark broader, more imaginative discussion across the community.

His central message highlights a shift already in motion: large language models are becoming the operating systems of our era. Tools like Cursor and ChatGPT have slipped into everyday workflows, and a new developer stack has formed around them—API calls, prompt design, and agent orchestration. In that sense, building with LLMs today mirrors the early days of writing software for macOS or Windows.

Beyond AGI Anxiety

Public anxiety still lingers around AGI and job loss, yet major tech firms have quietly dialed back the AGI rhetoric. They now recognize that raw model "intelligence" is only part of the story; true breakthroughs come from applications that make life easier for eight billion people. LLMs already draft documents, generate slide decks, and accelerate research—tasks that would have sounded like science fiction two years ago.

These systems hardly displace software engineers. Shipping robust products remains a collaborative, security-sensitive, long-term effort. The takeaway for developers is not to defend the status quo but to upskill. A decade ago, machine learning and deep learning were specialist pursuits; today, they sit alongside CSAPP and CS61C as foundational knowledge. Fine-tuning private models and designing effective prompts are becoming as basic as understanding compilers once was.

More Than Just LLM Wrappers

Some still debate whether AI agents are merely thin LLM wrappers. As companies such as Manus secure fresh funding, that concern is fading—and for good reason. No single company can exhaust the potential of pre-trained models. Prompt engineering, retrieval augmentation, memory management, and RL-driven agent design all open new fronts for innovation. If an application can be replaced by a generic chatbot, the weakness lies in its underlying thesis, not in the technology.

ChatGPT proves the point. OpenAI clearly envisioned something far larger than a chatbot when GPT-3 debuted in 2020, and that long-term vision paid off. Many startups rushed to clone ChatGPT's conversational novelty in late 2022, misreading the source of its success and vanishing just as quickly.

ChatGPT endured because its team kept iterating:

  • Conversational memory (my favorite feature, which made it feel like a friend who truly knows me)
  • Seamless model switching (something Gemini still lacks)
  • Invisible context-window management pushed the product forward

This yielded nearly 200 million monthly active users and over 10 million ChatGPT Plus subscribers. Thoughtful product design and integration remain essential.

The Road Ahead

The road ahead will reward those who use LLMs wisely, stay curious, and keep learning. To echo Karpathy's words as a closing thought: the coming decade belongs to agents. We are still early in that journey, but the momentum is unmistakable—and there is ample room for anyone ready to build.